Punishing sanctions were never going to stop Russian missiles, tanks and bombs. But the Biden administration hopes they offer an early edge in the first showdown of a new and dangerous 21st century coda to the Cold War.
// edition.cnn.com
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A third factor will also dictate this first chapter of the new US-Russia showdown — the capacity of the Ukrainian people to resist invasion, a possible occupation and what could turn out to be puppet pro-Moscow leaders. A related question of whether the United States should send arms to support a rebellion against Moscow is about to become a hot political issue in Washington.
History may record this as the moment when the United States girded for a second great, years-long confrontation against Russia — this time one rooted in a battle between democracy and autocracy, rather than between communism and capitalism.
By ostracizing Russia, Biden will change the world. And there will be costs for the United States. Other nations will once again be forced to choose between Moscow and Washington. Putin, spurned in polite diplomatic society, will have an incentive to cause maximum possible disruption to US foreign policy. Russia has been a vital player in attempts to quell the Iran and North Korean nuclear showdowns but may now perceive an advantage in blocking Washington on issues vital to US national security. And Putin's isolation may push him further toward China, America's rising superpower rival, which has a strong interest in seeing the US bogged down in Europe.
Во заявочка-то. Ни больше ни меньше - мир изменит.
В сущности, это "приглашение к танцу". Бидону нужна холодная война, долгая. Нужен противник, который выглядит серьёзным и опасным.
Значит, укров, по всей видимости, сольют до конца, может быть, приперчив для пущего драматизма - но вариант, в котором Зеленский как-то отбрешется мало того что фантастичен, но Байдену просто невыгоден.
Может ли это быть договорняк, в котором Путин согласился (надо полагать, после долгих уговоров) взять на себя роль Империи Зла-2??? Шут его... может быть.
The extent of Ukrainian resistance is critical to US policy going forward since it would weigh on the question of whether Washington would fund an insurgency in the country, which would mirror the 1980s effort that helped oust Soviet troops from Afghanistan. There's strong support in Congress but it would also potentially require the cooperation of European states to serve as transit routes, and they may be wary of antagonizing Putin further. Phil Mudd, a former CIA counterterrorism official who is now a CNN analyst, said US intelligence agencies would be trying to establish the effectiveness of the Ukrainian defense and whether there were opportunities to to help.
"We focused on one piece, 'What are the Russians doing?' Now some of the attention has got to shift to the other piece — can we help the Ukrainians?" Mudd told Tapper.
The idea that the United States would end up effectively fighting a proxy war in Europe against Russia after 30 years of peace would have been unbelievable even a few months ago, despite tense relations with Moscow.
But it may become a new reality in a new Cold War-style duel with Russia.
Подталкивают украинскую сторону положить побольше жизней. Иначе новая холодная война недостаточно внушительно начнётся.
Ну во всяком случае это должно успокоить тех, кто боялся Третьей Мировой. Она нафиг никому не упала - в отличие, похоже, от Второй Холодной. А такие войны хоть порой тоже плохо кончаются, но как минимум не сразу, а там видно будет.